AI Analytics | MEEK FM

Late-Cycle Stress macro 0.40 · credit 0.20 · news 0.15 · liq 0.10 · ensemble 0.15

Composite blends macro_score, news sentiment, credit OAS, M2 velocity, and the 5-agent trimmed-mean.

Quantum Macro State Collapsed: Late-Cycle

|Ψ|² across regime basis · kernel bandwidth modulated by VIX

Measurement Uncertainty

ΔR vs Δt trade-off — high concentration on dominant state → low ΔR, VIX widening → tighter Δt.

Global M2 Network Easing

Node size ∝ M2 contribution · edge intensity ∝ spillover correlation

Global M2 (4-major)$99.6T

YoY Growth+4.6%

Velocity (M2 × V)1.18×

Dispersion (σ)2.4pp

Multi-Agent Ensemble Forecast Dispersion: Wide

5 agents · 3-month equity return · trimmed mean ± 1σ · 200 Monte Carlo paths

Ensemble Mean

−1.2%

Std Dev (σ)

5.8%

Tail Risk (5%-VaR)

−10.4%

Methodology · v0.1

Quantum state · macro_score → 5-regime Gaussian kernel, VIX-modulated bandwidth.

M2 network · 6 CBs sized by M2; edges = 90d sovereign-yield correlation.

Ensemble · 5 agents (Hawk, Dove, Quant, Contrarian, Regime-Aware); 200-path MC; trimmed mean ±σ.

Composite · macro 0.40 + credit 0.20 + news 0.15 + liq 0.10 + ensemble 0.15. Auto-refresh on cron.